A projection system that is a
composite model of
Baseball Prospectus,
Davenport and
FanGraphs (by
RotoChamp) places the Red Sox finishing 2019 in
second place in the American League East. The projection puts Boston's wins at 92—behind the 95 wins projected for the "first-place"
Bronx Embalmers. Of course, these projections are being made at
this stage of the postseason—before several substantive moves still need to be made by most MLB teams. For example, the current projection does not factor in
Nathan Eovaldi being in the Boston rotation or bullpen—eventualities that could certainly still happen. We suppose that the Yankee projection includes their recent acquisition of starting pitcher
James Paxton from the Seattle Mariners, but, frankly, that's unclear. Nevertheless, the projection of the Red Sox getting
16 fewer wins than they got last year points up the absurdity of most of these cold, statistical models.
