The PECOTA projections from Baseball Prospectus are out for 2014. Your World Champion Boston Red Sox are picked to finish in a flat-footed tie with the Tampa Bay Rays for first place in the AL East.
The Bronx Embalmers are picked to finish a distant third in the division—followed by the Blue Jays and the Orioles. Other division winners are seen as Detroit and Oakland in the AL, and Washington and St. Louis in the NL. Both Boston and Tampa are projected to win 89 games, nine fewer than the team PECOTA sees as the best in baseball—the Los Angeles Dodgers.