Friday, February 10, 2012

Bill James Makes HOF Case For Dewey

Bill James is a quirky guy. Always has been. From his days in the Kansas bean cannery to his current role with the Red Sox, "geek" would be a more than fair way to describe him. Having said that, he's probably more responsible than anyone for making baseball more understandable through numbers. Baseball, of course, has always been about numbers, but James looked beyond the obvious 'back-of-the-bubble-gum-card' stuff and allowed us to see the hidden value in players with stats like on-base percentage (OBP), on-base plus slugging (OPS) and other more arcane ones.

It is just such a journey he takes us on in evaluating the Hall of Fame credentials of Dwight Evans. In a thoroughly "geeky", yet engaging, article he lays out the case for Dewey's overdue enshrinement in Cooperstown. Using his famous "Win-Shares" methodology (which estimates a player's contribution to his team's wins), James makes a convincing case that Evans (pictured here at a BoSox Club luncheon) meets or exceeds the threshold in career "win-shares" to make it in. Comparing his career to contemporary right-fielders (Winfield, Cedeno, Burroughs, Parker), we clearly see that Dewey (who atypically peaked in this thirties) deserves the honor. It is a argument that is hard to refute.